Prediction: 6/01/2010

Upon conclusion of my analysis, I felt it only appropriate to provide the reader with my prediction on the outcomes of Governor Schwarzenegger’s proposals.  With approximately a month and half remaining before the July 15th California budget deadline, much is yet to be determined.  However, given the research I have done, I conclude that funding to both CFAP and CAPI will be cut in the final version of the budget.  The implications of these cuts are drastic, and discussed in detail in the introduction.  While I believe the outcomes on those two programs are fairly certain, the future for CalWORKS is still uncertain.  Both the public and portions of the legislature have already shown their displeasure with the proposition, yet it remained on Governor Schwarzenegger’s revised budget proposal.  I believe that the termination of CalWORKS will eventually be voted down by the California legislature, mainly because it affects such a large population statewide.  Additionally, California voters have a huge stake in CalWORKS, as opposed to CAPI and CFAP where only non-voting immigrant residents would be affected.  Thus, although Governor Schwarzenegger has shown his power in putting CalWORKS on the agenda and pushing it through two stages of the budget process, I believe public opinion will override his agenda and reject his proposals.  While this will be good for low-income California immigrants and citizens alike, it will cause tremendous problems for the legislature, as they will be forced to close a $1.2 billion dollar gap in CalWORKS place.

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